{
  "schemaVersion": 1,
  "type": "teacher-tutor-reuse-bundle",
  "datasetVersion": "1.0.0+5b4307882dc4",
  "releaseDate": "2026-08-19",
  "pack": {
    "id": "evidence-without-overclaiming",
    "title_en": "Reason from evidence without overclaiming",
    "title_ru": "Делать выводы по данным без переутверждения",
    "description_en": "Move from a suggestive observation to a calibrated hypothesis while keeping uncertainty and alternatives visible.",
    "description_ru": "Перейдите от наблюдения к аккуратной гипотезе, сохраняя видимыми неопределённость и альтернативы.",
    "outcome_en": "Distinguish support from proof, a leading explanation from a merely possible one, and know when to name an alternative explicitly.",
    "outcome_ru": "Различать поддержку и доказательство, ведущую и просто возможную гипотезу и понимать, когда альтернативу нужно назвать явно.",
    "audience": [
      "B2",
      "C1",
      "teacher",
      "AI tutor"
    ],
    "canonical_url": "https://metkagram.github.io/en/packs/evidence-without-overclaiming/"
  },
  "rights": {
    "source": "Metkagram",
    "source_url": "https://metkagram.github.io",
    "source_repository": "https://github.com/metkagram/metkagram.github.io",
    "creator": "Metkagram",
    "creator_url": "https://github.com/metkagram",
    "maintainer": "Applied Systems Lab at MetalHatsCats",
    "maintainer_url": "https://metalhatscats.com",
    "license": "Metkagram Source-Available Terms",
    "license_url": "https://metkagram.github.io/en/licensing/",
    "rights_status": "source-available-not-open-source",
    "rights_url": "https://metkagram.github.io/rights.json",
    "historical_license": "CC BY-NC 4.0 before 2026-08-17; prior grants remain valid for copies received under those terms",
    "attribution_required": true,
    "attribution_text": "Source: Metkagram — https://metkagram.github.io/",
    "attribution_html": "Source: <a href=\"https://metkagram.github.io/\">Metkagram</a>",
    "terms_url": "https://metkagram.github.io/en/licensing/",
    "privacy_url": "https://metkagram.github.io/en/legal/privacy/",
    "contact_email": "metalhatscats@gmail.com",
    "contact_url": "https://www.linkedin.com/company/metalhatscats",
    "collaboration_url": "https://metkagram.github.io/en/licensing/"
  },
  "cards": [
    {
      "pack_id": "evidence-without-overclaiming",
      "pack_title_en": "Reason from evidence without overclaiming",
      "pack_title_ru": "Делать выводы по данным без переутверждения",
      "step_no": 1,
      "kind": "pattern",
      "object_id": "CLF051",
      "instruction_en": "Start with calibrated evidence: let an observation support a hypothesis without turning it into proof.",
      "instruction_ru": "Начните с калибровки свидетельства: наблюдение может поддерживать гипотезу, не превращаясь в доказательство.",
      "canonical_url": "https://metkagram.github.io/en/practice/patterns/x-suggests-that-y-but-it-doesn-t-prove-it-clf051/",
      "formula_en": "[X] suggests that [Y], but it doesn't prove it.",
      "formula_de": "[X] deutet darauf hin, dass [Y], beweist es aber nicht.",
      "example_en": "The repeated timeout suggests that the queue is overloaded, but it doesn't prove it.",
      "example_de": "Die wiederholte Zeitüberschreitung deutet darauf hin, dass die Queue überlastet ist, beweist es aber nicht.",
      "front_en": "Start with calibrated evidence: let an observation support a hypothesis without turning it into proof.",
      "back_en": "[X] suggests that [Y], but it doesn't prove it.\nExample: The repeated timeout suggests that the queue is overloaded, but it doesn't prove it.",
      "front_ru": "Начните с калибровки свидетельства: наблюдение может поддерживать гипотезу, не превращаясь в доказательство.",
      "back_ru": "X указывает на Y, но не доказывает его\nEN: [X] suggests that [Y], but it doesn't prove it.\nDE: [X] deutet darauf hin, dass [Y], beweist es aber nicht.\nПеревод: Повторяющийся таймаут указывает на перегрузку очереди, но не доказывает её.",
      "tags": "metkagram reasoning-pack evidence-without-overclaiming pattern CLF051"
    },
    {
      "pack_id": "evidence-without-overclaiming",
      "pack_title_en": "Reason from evidence without overclaiming",
      "pack_title_ru": "Делать выводы по данным без переутверждения",
      "step_no": 2,
      "kind": "contrast",
      "object_id": "suggests-vs-alternative-explanation",
      "instruction_en": "Separate weak proof claims from the different job of keeping a concrete alternative explanation visible.",
      "instruction_ru": "Отделите ограничение силы доказательства от другой задачи: явно сохранить конкретное альтернативное объяснение.",
      "canonical_url": "https://metkagram.github.io/en/contrasts/suggests-vs-alternative-explanation/",
      "formula_en": "CLF051: [X] suggests that [Y], but it doesn't prove it. | CLF052: [X] is consistent with [Y], but it could also mean [Z].",
      "formula_de": "CLF051: [X] deutet darauf hin, dass [Y], beweist es aber nicht. | CLF052: [X] passt zu [Y], könnte aber auch [Z] bedeuten.",
      "example_en": "",
      "example_de": "",
      "front_en": "Do you only need to calibrate how strongly X supports Y, or do you need to name a specific alternative explanation for the same evidence?",
      "back_en": "Use CLF051 when X supports Y but does not prove it; alternative explanations can remain implicit. Use CLF052 when the same observation fits Y but you need to keep a specific competing explanation Z visible.\nCLF051: [X] suggests that [Y], but it doesn't prove it. | CLF052: [X] is consistent with [Y], but it could also mean [Z].",
      "front_ru": "Нужно только показать, насколько X поддерживает Y, или важно назвать конкретное альтернативное объяснение тех же данных?",
      "back_ru": "CLF051 подходит, когда X поддерживает Y, но не доказывает его; альтернативы можно оставить неявными. CLF052 нужен, когда то же наблюдение согласуется с Y, но важно явно сохранить конкретное конкурирующее объяснение Z.\nCLF051: [X] suggests that [Y], but it doesn't prove it. | CLF052: [X] is consistent with [Y], but it could also mean [Z].",
      "tags": "metkagram reasoning-pack evidence-without-overclaiming contrast suggests-vs-alternative-explanation"
    },
    {
      "pack_id": "evidence-without-overclaiming",
      "pack_title_en": "Reason from evidence without overclaiming",
      "pack_title_ru": "Делать выводы по данным без переутверждения",
      "step_no": 3,
      "kind": "drill",
      "object_id": "missing-record-two-explanations",
      "instruction_en": "Choose the frame when one observation genuinely supports two specific interpretations.",
      "instruction_ru": "Выберите каркас для случая, когда одно наблюдение действительно поддерживает две конкретные интерпретации.",
      "canonical_url": "https://metkagram.github.io/en/clinic/#missing-record-two-explanations",
      "formula_en": "CLF051: [X] suggests that [Y], but it doesn't prove it. | CLF052: [X] is consistent with [Y], but it could also mean [Z].",
      "formula_de": "CLF051: [X] deutet darauf hin, dass [Y], beweist es aber nicht. | CLF052: [X] passt zu [Y], könnte aber auch [Z] bedeuten.",
      "example_en": "",
      "example_de": "",
      "front_en": "A missing record fits a replication failure, but it could also mean that the source never created the record. Keep both interpretations visible.\nA/B: CLF051: [X] suggests that [Y], but it doesn't prove it. | CLF052: [X] is consistent with [Y], but it could also mean [Z].",
      "back_en": "CLF052: [X] is consistent with [Y], but it could also mean [Z].\nChoose CLF052 because one observation is compatible with two specific explanations and the alternative must remain explicit.",
      "front_ru": "Отсутствующая запись согласуется со сбоем репликации, но может означать и то, что источник вообще её не создал. Сохраните обе интерпретации явными.\nA/B: CLF051: [X] suggests that [Y], but it doesn't prove it. | CLF052: [X] is consistent with [Y], but it could also mean [Z].",
      "back_ru": "CLF052: [X] is consistent with [Y], but it could also mean [Z].\nВыбирайте CLF052, потому что одно наблюдение совместимо с двумя конкретными объяснениями и альтернативу нужно оставить явной.",
      "tags": "metkagram reasoning-pack evidence-without-overclaiming drill missing-record-two-explanations"
    },
    {
      "pack_id": "evidence-without-overclaiming",
      "pack_title_en": "Reason from evidence without overclaiming",
      "pack_title_ru": "Делать выводы по данным без переутверждения",
      "step_no": 4,
      "kind": "contrast",
      "object_id": "most-likely-vs-cannot-rule-out",
      "instruction_en": "Now calibrate rank: leading explanation is much stronger than merely not eliminated.",
      "instruction_ru": "Теперь откалибруйте ранг: ведущее объяснение намного сильнее, чем просто не исключённая возможность.",
      "canonical_url": "https://metkagram.github.io/en/contrasts/most-likely-vs-cannot-rule-out/",
      "formula_en": "CLF053: The most likely explanation is that [X]. | CLF055: We cannot rule out [X].",
      "formula_de": "CLF053: Die wahrscheinlichste Erklärung ist, dass [X]. | CLF055: Wir können [X] nicht ausschließen.",
      "example_en": "",
      "example_de": "",
      "front_en": "Are you ranking X as the leading explanation, or merely saying that current evidence has not eliminated it?",
      "back_en": "Use CLF053 when evidence makes X the best current explanation after considering alternatives. Use CLF055 when X only remains possible: 'cannot rule out' does not mean likely and does not rank X above other hypotheses.\nCLF053: The most likely explanation is that [X]. | CLF055: We cannot rule out [X].",
      "front_ru": "Вы считаете X ведущим объяснением или лишь говорите, что текущие данные пока его не исключили?",
      "back_ru": "CLF053 нужен, когда после сравнения альтернатив X является лучшим текущим объяснением. CLF055 лишь сохраняет X среди возможных: «нельзя исключить» не означает «вероятно» и не ставит X выше других гипотез.\nCLF053: The most likely explanation is that [X]. | CLF055: We cannot rule out [X].",
      "tags": "metkagram reasoning-pack evidence-without-overclaiming contrast most-likely-vs-cannot-rule-out"
    },
    {
      "pack_id": "evidence-without-overclaiming",
      "pack_title_en": "Reason from evidence without overclaiming",
      "pack_title_ru": "Делать выводы по данным без переутверждения",
      "step_no": 5,
      "kind": "drill",
      "object_id": "timing-issue-still-possible",
      "instruction_en": "Practise keeping a hypothesis alive without accidentally calling it likely.",
      "instruction_ru": "Потренируйтесь сохранять гипотезу среди возможных, не называя её случайно вероятной.",
      "canonical_url": "https://metkagram.github.io/en/clinic/#timing-issue-still-possible",
      "formula_en": "CLF053: The most likely explanation is that [X]. | CLF055: We cannot rule out [X].",
      "formula_de": "CLF053: Die wahrscheinlichste Erklärung ist, dass [X]. | CLF055: Wir können [X] nicht ausschließen.",
      "example_en": "",
      "example_de": "",
      "front_en": "A timing issue is still compatible with the evidence, but other explanations currently look stronger. Keep timing in consideration without ranking it as likely.\nA/B: CLF053: The most likely explanation is that [X]. | CLF055: We cannot rule out [X].",
      "back_en": "CLF055: We cannot rule out [X].\nChoose CLF055 because the evidence has not eliminated the timing hypothesis, but the scenario explicitly avoids ranking it as the leading explanation.",
      "front_ru": "Проблема со временем всё ещё совместима с данными, но другие объяснения сейчас выглядят сильнее. Оставьте timing среди возможных причин, не называя его вероятным.\nA/B: CLF053: The most likely explanation is that [X]. | CLF055: We cannot rule out [X].",
      "back_ru": "CLF055: We cannot rule out [X].\nВыбирайте CLF055: данные не исключили timing-гипотезу, но условие специально не позволяет считать её ведущим объяснением.",
      "tags": "metkagram reasoning-pack evidence-without-overclaiming drill timing-issue-still-possible"
    }
  ]
}