B2–C1 · UNC · XTHUNC001

What we know is [X]; what we are still assuming is [Y]

A reusable frame from “Reasoning under uncertainty”. Separate evidence from assumptions, calibrate confidence, and identify what information would change the conclusion.

EN · EnglishWhat we know is [X]; what we are still assuming is [Y].
DE · GermanWas wir wissen, ist [X]; was wir noch annehmen, ist [Y].

Try variations2 · more examples

  1. RU · Translation

    Мы знаем, что пользователи прекращают после первого сеанса; но пока только предполагаем, что причина в онбординге.

    EN · English

    What  we  know  is that  users  stop after the first session; what  we  are still  assuming  is that  onboarding  is the  cause.

    DE · German

     Was  wir  wissen,  ist, dass  Nutzer nach der ersten Sitzung  aufhören;  was  wir noch  annehmen,  ist, dass  das Onboarding die Ursache  ist.

  2. RU · Translation

    Мы знаем, что ошибка появляется после массовых изменений; но пока только предполагаем, что её создаёт сам процесс массового изменения.

    EN · English

    What  we  know  is that  the error  appears after mass changes; what  we  are still  assuming  is that  the mass-change process  creates it.

    DE · German

     Was  wir  wissen,  ist, dass  der Fehler nach Massenänderungen  auftritt;  was  wir noch  annehmen,  ist, dass  der Massenänderungsprozess  ihn  verursacht.

Reasoning move · Calibrate

Calibrate

What it does

Separate observed evidence from assumptions that still need validation.

Pattern graph

Continue with nearby patterns

Related reasoning patterns4

Nearby structures let you perform the same reasoning move in a different form.

  1. The most useful next evidence would be [X], because it would distinguish [Y] from [Z].Calibrate · same reasoning move · same study set · related logic
  2. The evidence makes [X] more likely, but it does not rule out [Y].Calibrate · same reasoning move · same study set
  3. I would revise this view if [X] turned out to be true.Calibrate · same reasoning move · same study set
  4. Our confidence should be lower because [X] is still unknown.Calibrate · same reasoning move · same study set

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