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B2–C1 · UNC · 5 patterns

Reasoning under uncertainty

Separate evidence from assumptions, calibrate confidence, and identify what information would change the conclusion.

01 · How to use this set

Start from the communication job

Separate evidence from assumptions, calibrate confidence, and identify what information would change the conclusion.

Read the frame, try to complete your own sentence before opening an example, then compare the English structure with its German parallel. The point is retrieval and choice, not passive list reading.

02 · Representative patterns

Start with these reusable frames

A compact sample from the 5 patterns in this study set.

01What we know is [X]; what we are still assuming is [Y].What we know is that the backlog grew; what we are still assuming is that volume caused it. · German parallel: Was wir wissen, ist [X]; was wir noch annehmen, ist [Y].02The evidence makes [X] more likely, but it does not rule out [Y].The repeated timeout makes capacity pressure more likely, but it does not rule out a configuration error. · German parallel: Die Hinweise machen [X] wahrscheinlicher, schließen [Y] aber nicht aus.03I would revise this view if [X] turned out to be true.I would revise this view if the same failure appeared in the unchanged control group. · German parallel: Ich würde diese Einschätzung ändern, wenn sich [X] als zutreffend erweisen würde.04Our confidence should be lower because [X] is still unknown.Our confidence should be lower because the baseline error rate is still unknown. · German parallel: Unser Vertrauen in die Schlussfolgerung sollte geringer sein, weil [X] noch unklar ist.05The most useful next evidence would be [X], because it would distinguish [Y] from [Z].The most useful next evidence would be queue timestamps, because they would distinguish processing delay from delivery delay. · German parallel: Der nützlichste nächste Hinweis wäre [X], weil er [Y] von [Z] unterscheiden würde.

03 · Complete set

Browse every pattern

The canonical list follows below. Every pattern has a stable ID and its own page for examples, translation, and reuse.

01What we know is [X]; what we are still assuming is [Y].XTHUNC001 · What we know is [X]; what we are still assuming is [Y]. / Was wir wissen, ist [X]; was wir noch annehmen, ist [Y].02The evidence makes [X] more likely, but it does not rule out [Y].XTHUNC002 · The evidence makes [X] more likely, but it does not rule out [Y]. / Die Hinweise machen [X] wahrscheinlicher, schließen [Y] aber nicht aus.03I would revise this view if [X] turned out to be true.XTHUNC003 · I would revise this view if [X] turned out to be true. / Ich würde diese Einschätzung ändern, wenn sich [X] als zutreffend erweisen würde.04Our confidence should be lower because [X] is still unknown.XTHUNC004 · Our confidence should be lower because [X] is still unknown. / Unser Vertrauen in die Schlussfolgerung sollte geringer sein, weil [X] noch unklar ist.05The most useful next evidence would be [X], because it would distinguish [Y] from [Z].XTHUNC005 · The most useful next evidence would be [X], because it would distinguish [Y] from [Z]. / Der nützlichste nächste Hinweis wäre [X], weil er [Y] von [Z] unterscheiden würde.

04 · Continue

C1 Communication

A useful next step from the same learning path.

01Perspective takingRepresent another viewpoint fairly, separate positions from interests, and locate the real source of disagreement.02ArgumentationBuild and test a line of reasoning.03Opinions and stanceState a position with the right degree of commitment.04Evidence and inferenceConnect a claim to evidence without overclaiming.