B2–C1 · UNC · XTHUNC004

Our confidence should be lower because [X] is still unknown.

EN · EnglishOur confidence should be lower because [X] is still unknown.
DE · GermanUnser Vertrauen in die Schlussfolgerung sollte geringer sein, weil [X] noch unklar ist.
EN · English

Our  confidence  should  be lower because the baseline error  rate is still unknown.

DE · German

Unser  Vertrauen in die Schlussfolgerung  sollte geringer  sein, weil die ursprüngliche  Fehlerrate noch unklar ist.

Try variations2 · more examples

  1. EN · English

    Our  confidence  should  be lower because  we  do not know how the sample was selected.

    DE · German

    Unser  Vertrauen in die Schlussfolgerung  sollte geringer  sein, weil noch unklar ist, wie die  Stichprobe  ausgewählt wurde.

  2. EN · English

    Our  confidence  should  be lower because the effect  has only been observed for one region.

    DE · German

    Unser  Vertrauen in die Schlussfolgerung  sollte geringer  sein, weil der  Effekt bisher nur in einer Region  beobachtet wurde.

Reasoning move · Calibrate

Calibrate

What it does

Adjust confidence downward when a material variable remains unknown.

Pattern graph

Continue with nearby patterns

Related reasoning patterns4

Nearby structures let you perform the same reasoning move in a different form.

  1. What we know is [X]; what we are still assuming is [Y].Calibrate · same reasoning move · same study set
  2. The evidence makes [X] more likely, but it does not rule out [Y].Calibrate · same reasoning move · same study set
  3. I would revise this view if [X] turned out to be true.Calibrate · same reasoning move · same study set
  4. The most useful next evidence would be [X], because it would distinguish [Y] from [Z].Calibrate · same reasoning move · same study set